Tag: Forecast


DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION Issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society 9 January 2020 ENSO Alert System Status: Not Active Synopsis: ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere spring 2020 (~60% chance), continuing through summer 2020 (~50% chance). During December 2019, near-to-above-average sea surface […]

El Nino gone; winter outlook unclear

DON JENKINS August, 2019 A weak El Nino went away in July as sea-surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean along the equator cooled to within a normal range, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported Thursday. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center estimated the chances of neutral conditions sticking through […]

Understanding the El Niño Costero of 2017: The Definition Problem and Challenges of Climate Forecasting and Disaster Responses

Ivan J. Ramírez, Fernando Briones 13 December 2017 Abstract This preliminary study examines the definition problem and challenges of climate forecasting and disaster responses associated with the El Niño costero (coastal) of 2017, which developed rapidly with no warning and had catastrophic effects in Peru. Such a localized El Niño was not […]

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