Tag: Forecast

Understanding the El Niño Costero of 2017: The Definition Problem and Challenges of Climate Forecasting and Disaster Responses

Ivan J. Ramírez, Fernando Briones 13 December 2017 Abstract This preliminary study examines the definition problem and challenges of climate forecasting and disaster responses associated with the El Niño costero (coastal) of 2017, which developed rapidly with no warning and had catastrophic effects in Peru. Such a localized El Niño was not […]

Decision Making

Decision Making Under Uncertainty (DMUU) and Forecasting El Niño Over a decade ago, the US National Science Foundation developed a program to research the notion of “decision making under uncertainty” (DMUU). DMUU has value for applying science to societal decision-making processes. The scientific community’s “job” is to focus […]