Author: Emily Becker El Niño is hanging on by its fingernails, but forecasters predict this event will wind down within the next couple of months. It’s likely that the temperature of the tropical Pacific Ocean surface will return to near-average soon, qualifying for “ENSO-neutral” conditions. Neutral conditions are favored to remain […]
Famine Early Warning System Network February 1, 2019 USAID Delayed start of season and significant rainfall deficits negatively impacting cropping conditions The October 2018 to March 2019 rainy season in Southern Africa started nearly a month late, and rainfall totals to date are significantly below average across much […]
The weather outlook comes at a time when dry conditions have wilted crops and pasture in Australia’s each coast, leaving many farmers struggling to survive.PHOTO: AFP October 9, 2018 SYDNEY (REUTERS) – A recent warming of the Pacific Ocean has led to a 70 per cent chance of […]
ASME The tropical Pacific Ocean’s surface temperature (SST) anomalies remained within the neutral range in July 2018 over the Nino3.4 region (Figure A). Likewise, most of the atmospheric indicators of El Niño/La Niña indicated neutral conditions. While the 1-month Nino3.4 value for July 2018 was -0.2, slightly lower […]
Trend continues of warmer than normal conditions, accompanied by extreme weather Geneva, 10 September 2018 – There is a 70% chance of an El Niño developing by the end of this year, according to the latest update from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Its intensity is currently uncertain, but a […]
July 2018 Schematic illustration of the two atmosphere/ocean oscillations that contribute to the complexity of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and its impacts. A new research study, published this week by an international team of climate scientists in the journal Nature, isolates key mechanisms that cause El Niño events […]
